Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.882556 7.552248 8.277011 9.122776 10.086579 11.155307 12.436421
2026-02-01 5.889307 6.763846 7.770050 9.024008 10.559821 12.399278 14.799365
2026-02-08 5.257676 6.222474 7.378795 8.886215 10.828726 13.289366 16.711672
2026-02-15 4.773025 5.781137 7.028380 8.713465 10.976197 13.978812 18.388674
2026-02-22 4.439428 5.484986 6.814618 8.668342 11.250960 14.826637 20.352864
2026-03-01 4.073677 5.111736 6.460655 8.388886 11.156510 15.124437 21.525460
2026-03-08 3.719528 4.725578 6.055801 7.996345 10.850714 15.063975 22.113008
2026-03-15 3.495892 4.497834 5.846352 7.855282 10.886777 15.501545 23.531253
2026-03-22 3.542446 4.639127 6.152602 8.475852 12.113957 17.909475 28.608009
2026-03-29 3.450310 4.578413 6.164748 8.655807 12.669493 19.294956 32.120374
2026-04-05 3.262933 4.370215 5.948119 8.466530 12.608776 19.627158 33.703747
2026-04-12 3.178951 4.306020 5.938346 8.596133 13.080857 20.932831 37.413193
2026-04-19 3.022063 4.131091 5.758603 8.452314 13.095076 21.450902 39.684749
2026-04-26 2.888646 3.984473 5.613741 8.354785 13.181117 22.114883 42.413596
2026-05-03 2.760269 3.838493 5.460648 8.230707 13.204952 22.656717 44.971022
2026-05-10 2.634731 3.690599 5.296008 8.074522 13.153829 23.040041 47.230048
2026-05-17 2.543852 3.591572 5.203110 8.033717 13.311723 23.865403 50.764448
2026-05-24 2.414494 3.427001 4.996493 7.780839 13.042900 23.761183 51.868222
2026-05-31 2.272094 3.236669 4.739896 7.425179 12.547872 23.118761 51.405085
2026-06-07 2.184486 3.129629 4.614965 7.297239 12.490542 23.430895 53.673252
2026-06-14 2.236022 3.245683 4.863418 7.859562 13.866458 27.161744 66.963662
2026-06-21 2.208803 3.233019 4.894522 8.022379 14.438070 29.113329 75.517836
2026-06-28 2.123767 3.122491 4.753473 7.851124 14.284421 29.269550 78.134547